Italy: Serie A: What happens on final day ?

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Serie A final day stats: (written Friday 09.00 UK time)

Last three seasons on final day: 93.33% with 3 or more goals, 66.67% producing at least four.

Additionally eyecatching stat is the number of away teams with multi goals, with 18 (60%) scoring at least twice and 11 were bottom half of the table teams, including four already relegated, three of which were basement clubs putting in one last hurrah !

There is nothing much at stake in the Genoa -Torino game , the host having conceded the most home goals amongst any top 12 team, with 3 of their last four starts also producing 4 or more goals. Torino have not scored as freely this season, but have collected the most away points of any non top 8 team and thrown off the shackles in their last two starts, scoring four goals, including two away to Napoli and it should have been more, in a pair of wide open encounters. 14 goals in the last three h2h meetings in Genoa, two of which were also played in May with an end of season vibe and it is hard not to see this following suit.

1.75 units 'over' 3.5 goals 2.30-2.50 general quote.

Napoli- Crotone, the home side are going to finish second regardless and have had a good, albeit frustrating season, they have been sloppy in the last month (the win at Juve aside) and have conceded five goals in their last three home games , against teams (Chievo/Udinese/Torino) they would have brushed aside earlier in the campaign. Crotone come here in the bottom three, they are not dead yet, but it will be tough to survive without winning this and to do that they are probably going to need to score 2-3 goals. It is not impossible, they are obviously the more motivated of the two and battled really hard in that 2-2 draw with Lazio last Sunday, but were ultimately left cursing the two points dropped, which would have taken them above SPAL and Cagliari. Crotone had the great escape last season, eight points from safety with 9 to play, four with three and that should give them confidence and they have again picked up well in the second half of the campiagn with 20 points since late January. I expect them to give this a go and for an open encounter.

1.5 units Crotone to score two or more goals 3.0 -3.25 general quote, best alternative 'over' 3.5 goals.
 

Good Luck.

 

 

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