Brazil: Serie A betting tip: Vasco da Gama- Palmeiras
Nov 06, 2019
Busy day today, especially for a Wednesday, with seven football previews in the newsletter including .........................
Brazil: Serie A: Vasco da Gama- Palmeiras
I bigged Vasco up in the middle of last month ahead of a home game with Fortaleza and also spoke about their previous game which was with Avai, so all useful for today's trio of games ..............
Avai and Vasco da Gama played out a very disappointing 0-0 draw in Florianópolis in midweek, until late it looked like only Vasco were really trying to win and for the second game in a row they will be disappointed not to have scored, they played well and created chances in both (other was a 1-0 home loss to a strong Santos team) and their +24 ITB numbers from their last six starts highlight that and those are top 4-5 not 14th place stats, they are not in those lofty positions however and lie just 5 points above the drop zone and will be looking to stop the rot here. Fortaleza got their desired result in midweek, beating the bottom club Chapecoense 2-0, but have two home games next week, which might take precedence as they have travelled SP-Fortaleza-Rio in the last eight days which will be 11,000 km + by this evening. Smaller teams have to pick their battles to survive in Brazil and you feel that Fortaleza's was on Wednesday and then, lie ahead. Vasco have some very talented offensive players who's abilities have not fully been reflected in goals , I was very taken with 17 yo Talles Magno and 20 yo Marrony against Santos, playing as two of the front three , Marrony is available again and I hope they return to the three up top, Talles only turned 17 in June, he is a ridiculous talent, can play anywhere in a front three and I guess, has half of Europe watching his progress, despite playing only 900+ minutes of first team football.
Avai are and were in big trouble and think they are going to survive by playing for 0-0 for 80 minutes and trying to win in the final 10, that is ok if you are playing Flamengo, but they do the same even against a fellow struggler and midweek was the final straw, how can you show so little ambition ? If you are not good enough, fine, but give yourself a chance and for 90 minutes , not 10 !
Vasco have gone 3-2-1 subsequently and the 11 points gave taken them to 11th and safety, the loss came here in Rio versus Gremio who are of a similar level to Palmeiras, most would say today's opposition is tougher. I am not 100% convinced of that, but do feel that Vasco might think they have done enough for now and after a brief blip, Palmeiras have won 3 in a row and 5/6 and are perhaps unfortunate that Flamengo are so good as they still trail them by 8 points. However, they are certainly not giving up with 24 points up for grabs and with Fla still to travel to the teams in second and third , the leaders also have a Copa Libertadores final in Chile in 17 days time versus the defending champions, that comes just days after they play Palmeiras and there is a danger that Flamengo will get distracted. Anyway a chance to put some pressure on the leader with Fla playing a derby game tomorrow.
Vasco are without both starting defensive midfielders in Bruno Gomes and Richard due to suspension, the latter has played almost every minute of games available since coming back into the team on Matchday 10, but have lost the last three he has missed without scoring and was defensive MOTM when the two teams met in the reverse fixture.
2 units Palmeiras -0.5 ball 2.22 asian line/Sportmarket.
Good Luck.
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