La Liga betting preview: Eibar- Granada
Granada are buoyed by their 2-1 win over Sevilla on Sunday,but they really rode their luck their at times, especially early in both halves and I think that back to back games against such strong opponents are a big ask with the very quick turnaround and for them, the additional issue of travel )they also played at Las Palmas last midweek) and with the early kick off , they would have had to make this journey yesterday. They have also left out four from the weekend squad, including both starting right sided midfielders. Survival has to be the priority for Granada and you would think it would be all about La Liga for them, however, they go to Barcelona on Saturday and might feel they have little chance there anyway and want to give this their best shot, but that could be very dangerous, especially if it back fired , they lost this anyway and left little in the tank for the weekend and the return with Valencia is next midweek, this is the third of seven games inside 26 days for the visitors and I would argue that this is the least important of all for Granada and I expect a reasonably comfortable win for the hosts. Valencia are 8-1-0 h2h2 in the series since Granada returned to the top flight, they are a perfect 5/5 at Mestalla, where they have also kept four clean sheets.
Valencia have traveled with a strong looking squad, but that changes little in my opinion and it is all about mindset and motivation and I suspect that GCF as the host will have more of the latter and the extra day before the next game is also important. Granada will be looking to build on that last home win over Sevilla and to start trying to make their home ground a bit of a fortress in the second half of the campaign. Valencia have alreday lost nine away games this season ( six in the league) and are not the same team away from Mestalla.
Granada again lost heavily, Valenca took the match fairly seriously and I wonder if they now regret that after dropping two points at home to Rayo Vallecano yesterday. Anyway, Granada have conceded 18 goals in six starts since the Christmas fixture and it really should have been more. The visitors arrive without Ruben Rochina and Javi Márquez and with miss both in the centre of the park, Rochina plays in the withdrawn striker role and has contributed to five goals this season, including scoring in the reverse fixture which Eibar won 3-1.
Eibar: Riesgo , Irureta, Capa, Dos Santos, Ramis, Ekiza, Luna , Juncà, Dani García, Adrián, Eddy Silvestre, Iñigo Barrenetxea, Inui, Keko, Saúl Berjón , Verdi, Sergi Enrich ,Borja Bastón.
Granada: Kelava, Andrés Fernández,Lombán, Biraghi, Mainz, Babin, Dória, Foulquier , Miguel Lopes, Fran Rico, Rober Ibáñez, Edgar, Rubén Pérez, Rene Krhin , Uche, El Arabi, Success ,Peñaranda.
Good Luck.
Betis have scored just one first half goal all season ( none in the open 30 mins), Eibar have scored 67% of all goals in the first half, on the road 60% (6/10) have come in the opening 30 minutes, with only Real Madrid scoring more. I can only imagine the stampede to get on if Real were offered at odds against in FH betting.Hosts have issues in central defence, both centre backs left the pitch early in the 4-0 New Year loss to Barcelona, but due to lack of alternatives, one or both might be asked to play today.
Both teams have some suspension/injury issues, but Bilbao have good alternatives and Las Palmas are going to struggle , especially as they put a lot of effort and targeted the three points in their home game with Granada last midweek, they are likely to do similar with next week's home game with Malaga far more win-able. Bilbao are building up a head of steam and are fast starters, leading at the break in 5 of 8 wins ( 3 of 5 at home), LP have conceded a whopping ten goals in the opening 30 minutes on the road ( which is 1.25 per match), where they have already lost six times and there is surely a good chance for Athletic to get their noses in front early against a tired opponent.
I did think that LP might have stayed in the region after that game (Eibar is only50km from Bilbao), but they made the long flight home and flew back into Bilbao yesterday afternoon, given that it was the "holiday" yesterday, I suspect the players were given some time with their family this week and I doubt that they have done much apart from that and flying to and from the Basque region. That is at least ten hours in the air already, add in transit times and it is quite a drain on already tired limbs. LP surely have to have survival as their number one, two and three priority, after taking 28 years to return to the top flight and IMO, they could do without further involvement in a competition they cannot win. They play three home league games this month and they give them a real opportunity to open up some daylight over the bottom three and that should be their focus. They have traveled with a "strong" squad in terms of who is available, but have left Tana and Viera who scored three of last week's six goals at home, I guess with the visit from Malaga firmly in mind. I suspect that options are limited beyond was is availble to start right now and they made their three substitutions very late at San Mames, which indicates as much and at least two of those were just to waste a little injury time. I doubt they have much left in the tank and expect them to play with one eye on the upcoming league fixture .
They led twice there and were 2-1 up at the break, but ended the match with nine men and lost 3-2, they can recall Ramis, Capa and Garcia (see the trio above) and that will freshen up the squad. Espanyol have started 2016 with back to back deby games with Barcelona, so I am not sure how much they have left in the tank after chasing Messi and co for 180 minutes. Being a derby, they did not really have the option to rest players in midweek and went with their strongest available line up, with 12 players featuring in both games, like Eibar, they ended the midweek game with nine men and played the last 20 there two players short, which is about as thankless a task (v Barce) as I can think of ! They have a big loss today with the suspension to centre back Alvaro Gonzalez, who is pretty much the first defensive name on the team sheet.
Both teams ended their midweek games in shambolic fashion and I can see the early action that has been a feature of Eibar games ( see above) continuing and the three Espanyol road games have produced six FH goals and,in the two h2h games last season, the visiting team scored three FH goals.
1.5 units "over" 1 goal in first half betting 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket, eventually this will have to open up , so, best alternative would , of course, have to be the over 2.5 standard goal line.
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