136 and counting!
May 30, 2024
PGA Tour: Canadian Open
I rarely discuss non majors pretournament and never back non winners on the PGA Tour, but never say never and so .........
This is a weak field with the tournament sandwiched between some big and much more lucrative events. Rory is playing as he has won it twice before and by seven shots the last time it was played on this course and that is why he is priced as low as 4.33 to win, as the standout golfer in a substandard field. I have no real issue with him as a prohibitively priced favourite and he does win a lot of these kinds of event and is very much a horses for courses golfer, but odds like that with 72 holes to play and a just announced planned divorce for Rory, which cannot help, are not for me! Anyway, this course and event suits not just Rory, but European golfers in general and they have a good record in the Canadian Open and I want to touch upon one in Tommy Fleetwood.
The laid back and likeable Englishman is a seven time winner in Europe but has never won the PGA Tour. However, his record is crazy good aside from that, he has played 136 tournaments, made the cut in 114 (83.82%) and finished top 10 in 36 (26.47%), top 5 in 23 (16.91%) and top 3 (which obviously means 2nd or 3rd) in 10 (7.35%) and without knowing, I would be prepared to bet that they are the best numbers of any non winner currently on Tour. He also has 7 major top 5's to his name and has finished top 5 in all four of them since 2022 (in nine outings). He is tremendously consistent and is close to his top form, his highest ever ranking was #9 and he is world #13 currently .
His last 5 starts have seen him finish 7th at the Valero, 3rd at the Masters, 49th RBC Heritage ( a tournament unlike the other 5) , 13th at the Wells Fargo and 26th at the PGA, last year he was a respective and similar overall 3-33-15-5-18 and then missed the cut at the Charles Schwab before finishing runner up at the Canadian Open ( he lost that in a playoff at the 4th extra hole when his opponent holed from the fairway for an eagle !). He skipped the Charles Schwab this year and just has to go well.
I will only take something very small in the win market as he has had 136 previous attempts! ........... 0.75 units Tommy Fleetwood to win outright 17.0 + general quote, but there is 21.0 on Betfair and, despite the low liquidity, you should get matched at that or very similar should you wish.
2.75 units Tommy Fleetwood to finish top 10 @ 3.0 general quote ..........he is circa 3.75 for top 10 whenever he tees up and that includes elite events and majors and this is probably the weakest line up he will face in 2024.
Good luck!
PGA Tour: Canadian Open
I rarely discuss non majors pretournament and never back non winners on the PGA Tour, but never say never and so .........
This is a weak field with the tournament sandwiched between some big and much more lucrative events. Rory is playing as he has won it twice before and by seven shots the last time it was played on this course and that is why he is priced as low as 4.33 to win, as the standout golfer in a substandard field. I have no real issue with him as a prohibitively priced favourite and he does win a lot of these kinds of event and is very much a horses for courses golfer, but odds like that with 72 holes to play and a just announced planned divorce for Rory, which cannot help, are not for me! Anyway, this course and event suits not just Rory, but European golfers in general and they have a good record in the Canadian Open and I want to touch upon one in Tommy Fleetwood.
The laid back and likeable Englishman is a seven time winner in Europe but has never won the PGA Tour. However, his record is crazy good aside from that, he has played 136 tournaments, made the cut in 114 (83.82%) and finished top 10 in 36 (26.47%), top 5 in 23 (16.91%) and top 3 (which obviously means 2nd or 3rd) in 10 (7.35%) and without knowing, I would be prepared to bet that they are the best numbers of any non winner currently on Tour. He also has 7 major top 5's to his name and has finished top 5 in all four of them since 2022 (in nine outings). He is tremendously consistent and is close to his top form, his highest ever ranking was #9 and he is world #13 currently .
His last 5 starts have seen him finish 7th at the Valero, 3rd at the Masters, 49th RBC Heritage ( a tournament unlike the other 5) , 13th at the Wells Fargo and 26th at the PGA, last year he was a respective and similar overall 3-33-15-5-18 and then missed the cut at the Charles Schwab before finishing runner up at the Canadian Open ( he lost that in a playoff at the 4th extra hole when his opponent holed from the fairway for an eagle !). He skipped the Charles Schwab this year and just has to go well.
I will only take something very small in the win market as he has had 136 previous attempts! ........... 0.75 units Tommy Fleetwood to win outright 17.0 + general quote, but there is 21.0 on Betfair and, despite the low liquidity, you should get matched at that or very similar should you wish.
2.75 units Tommy Fleetwood to finish top 10 @ 3.0 general quote ..........he is circa 3.75 for top 10 whenever he tees up and that includes elite events and majors and this is probably the weakest line up he will face in 2024.
Good luck!
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