France: Ligue 2 betting tip(s): Olympique Nimes- Niort
Sep 22, 2017
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France: Ligue 2: Olympique Nimes- Niort
Ahead of Nimes last home start, I wrote ..............
I like to "adopt" teams and feel that Nimes are "our" Ligue 2 side and we have discussed and supported them often in recent campaigns and they have rarely let us down, especially on the road and much of this was covered when we sided with them last week for their trip to Ajaccio and those notes are reproduced below in full (edit: see last Friday's email).
They won that 4-1 with Panagiotis Vlachodimos scoring and newbie left back Olivier Boscagli provided an assist ( different goal), these two (see below) give them that option on the left they didn't have before and look exciting additions for a team with a good recruitment policy. Teji Savanier (again, see below) returns tonight and it is another very offensive looking squad for Nimes, with five "forwards" named, four of whom scored last week, two from off the bench including last season's top scorer Rachid Alioui with his first of the campaign. So, good luck naming the starting front duo this evening. Alioui took a while to get going last season too, none in his first four, but seven in his next five, so I expect he will get one of the spots and he is worth following for the next week or two.
It was really an impressive win without the two midfielders and tonight is all about the hosts for me, if they play close to their potential, I would not back any team at this level to beat them. Auxerre won just 3/21 to start last season and are 1-1-4 this time round, losing all three on the road, conceding eight in the process. They were comprehensively outplayed in the sole game they won (opening day), they lost out to 3rd tier opposition in the Coupe de la Ligue and if we take away the 4-1 loss at Le Havre, their other five league games have come against teams with an average league placing of 14th, so they have underperformed against underperformers ! Just a shame Nimes are not the away side !
Then on Tuesday they travelled to Tours ..............
Nimes romped home against 10 men on Friday and could coast from the hour mark when they were 2-0 up and that was a bonus given the very quick turnaround, they will be without Umut Bozok tonight, but Renaud Ripart is now available to return which is timely and also illustrates their (now) great strength in depth. This is a team who seem certain to challenge for top 3 , they have found their stride a little quicker this season and their budget has been well spent. They can repeat last season's 3-1 win in this fixture , actually they are looking to win in Tours for the fourth straight season, both teams have scored in the previous three and given that is very much Nimes' modus operandi and they have conceded in 17 of 21 away starts, despite winning a huge 13 (62%) of those, with 67% going "over" 2.5 goals.
The young Tours' squad ( see below) are starting to look even younger and more lost and desperately need a result to stop the rot, but that next win will be hard to come by and they have already lost at home here to all three league visitors and at least two of those are definitely inferior to ON. The hosts worst performance was probably on Friday and no signs of things changing just yet, but they are certainly capable of a goal , they had a huge chance early on Friday and a whole host of them in their last home game, but things are just not falling their way at present. Away win and goals.
They won that 4-0 , that makes eleven goals in three starts and they play another team with fragile confidence this evening and do so back close to full strength with Umut Bozok ( see above) returning to the squad.
This is a fixture we almost always discuss and traditionally, it plays out ideally for us. Nimes have won the last seven h2h meetings here, six going "over", with both teams scoring in five, they have won four by 2+ goals and scored three or more in six. It is so easy to see the hosts again scoring three or more given history ,how they are playing and having watched Niort's home game with Brest in midweek.......odds of 3.0 + for them to do so look big.
Brest actually hit the bar early there, but it was largely Niort on top early and creating the better chances, but as usual when things are not going your way, the goal never came. They conceded very early in the second half with some Keystone Kop style defending and it was immediately game over, heads dropped and players were looking for team mates to blame and that is always a terrible sign, they were quickly two down and Brest, who are to attacking football what Kim Jong Un is to Foreign relations, could/should have scored 4-5 and missed a handful of one on ones (hit the woodwork twice).
Comments by Niort players in build up to this like " at some point, if we continue to believe it, it will turn out in our favour" and "we have to try and keep our heads up" whilst true, hardly inspire or denote confidence. I can only imagine what might happen here if ON score first and relatively early.
1.75 units Olympique Nimes -1 ball 2.05 asian line/Sportmarket.
1.5 units "over" 3 goals 2.41 asian line/Sportmarket .
Olympique Nimes: Martin Sourzac – Baptiste Valette- Sofiane Alakouch – Olivier Boscagli – Anthony Briançon – Liassine Cadamuro – Fethi Harek – Gaëtan Paquiez - Antonin Bobichon – Romain Del Castillo – Téji Savanier – Pierrick Valdivia – Théo Valls -Rachid Alioui – Umut Bozok – Clément Depres – Renaud Ripart – Sada Thioub – Panagiotis Vlachodimos.
Niort : Allagbé, Bouchard - Dacosta, Paro, Sans, Choplin, Brison, Batisse - Roye, Dembele, Agouazi, Lebeau, Djigla, Grange - Lamkel Ze, Leautey, Dona Ndoh, Vion, Diakité.
Good Luck.
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