Italy: Serie A stats .............ITB and BC's (find out what they are !)

football betting tips -
 
Italy: Serie A:
 
Only four rounds, but I have had several requests to run the Italian numbers , so here goes........
 
Torino and Genoa have only played 3 games, Napoli and Juventus have too, but the Old Lady were awarded a 3-0 home win in their fixture after Napoli were ordered not to travel by their local health authority, butSerie A know best ! Napoli are, of course, appealing that decision.
 
Milan 42-30
Sassuolo 56-28
*Napoli 36-12
Atalanta 40-36
Verona 34-34
Inter 46-35
Roma 37-25
Benevento 29-45
Sampdoria 34-40
*Juventus 26-21
Lazio 34-27
Fiorentina 40-29
*Genoa 18-33
Spezia 17-43
Cagliari 23-50
Bologna 35-41
Udinese 39-21
Parma 19-33
Crotone 25-34
*Torino 15-28
 
Sassuolo are "our" team and have continued to serve us ridiculously well post lockdown, they continue on their merry way and are averaging a  league high 14 attempts ITB each game and are also a Serie A best net +7 each game.
 
Again I want to save something for the weekend, but I will mention two other teams. Benevento have started the season well and would have snatched your arm off if you had offered them six points with Juve and Lazio below them in the table at this stage, however, they have given up the second most attempts ITB on their own goal and created the fewest pg amongst the top 12 and they are a net -12 for BC's giving up 17 in their last three outings and they are just "borrowing" a top half of the table position for now. Udinese numbers are just great, they are plus in all four games for both ITB and BC's and no other team has even managed that for ITB alone. They are clearly better than 17th and now that they have that first win under their belt, they should kick on.
 
 
Some leagues just lend themselves to stats and Serie A is one of those and I just want to further highlight how good ITB numbers were in Italy last season, through 17 rounds the top 11 were.......
 
Internazionale +71 (46-26)
Juventus +68  (54-49)
 
*Lazio +69 (66-37)
Roma +37 (46-25)
Atalanta +111 (70-30)
Cagliari -77 (31-60)
Parma -59 (35-64)
Napoli +70 (63-32)
Bologna +5 (48-50)
Torino -52 (37-45)
Milan +23 (52-41)
 
Atalanta finished 3rd, Milan 6th and the seven top ranked teams at that time went on to fill the top 7 places, not hugely surprising as they are all name teams, but Cagliari fell to 14th, Parma to 11th, Bologna to 12th and Torino to 16th and almost everyone ended up where the numbers indicated they should be more than 20 games beforehand .
 
Glossary:
 
ITB= inside the box attempts, Goal of the month competitions usually feature several long range contenders and we always remember those 30 yard bullets into the top corner, but only 12.87% of Premier League goals over the last three seasons have been scored from outside the box , good coaches are known to encourage players to look for better scoring opportunities and it is usually only supporters urging "shoooooot" everytime the goal is within sight, even if there are 20 players between ball and net .
 
XG= expected goals.
XGF= expected goals for.
XGA = expected goals against.
XGD = expected goal difference.
XP = expected points.
BC = big scoring chance.
 
 

Good luck !

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