Wimbledon tennis betting preview ........
Jul 02, 2022
Wimbledon: WTA
Paula Badosa- Petra Kvitova
Petra Kvitova appears to be "back" and no one is more pleased about that than me, however temporary it might be and I personally will always remember fondly those two great Wimbledon wins. She won Eastbourne last week and ahead of her semi final I wrote ........
On Tuesday I touched upon how good Kvitova had been on grass, but also wondered how much longer we would see her at an elite level .........Petra Kvitova is a clubgowi favourite and we backed her outright both years in which she won Wimbledon and where, in addition to those two titles, she was a five time quarter finalist, but the last of those was in 2014 ( which seems incredible!). She is also a very decent 9-4 at Eastbourne, but has not played on these courts in four years. I keep thinking her career is winding down and then she will go on a run somewhere, but to be honest, her loss in her first match in Madrid, pre Roland Garros, was a real concern, it was a tough match up, but she loves it there, where she is a three time winner and six time quarter finalist, she has been a great champion, but I do wonder how much is left in the tank ?
Well this is one those "runs" and she is in the 74th semi final of her career, she has won 48 of those and is 30-8 in that category versus opponents ranked 21+ , in grass court semis she is 5-2 with the two defeats coming against fellow Wimbledon champions.
Beatriz Haddad Maia is on one of the most amazing runs I can recall and is looking for a third straight grass court title in a row after winning both Nottingham and Birmingham, so hoping for a 14th straight win on the surface today! I say" incredible" as not only is that a terrific record, but she had no real form on grass prior to that and had failed to qualify for Wimbledon three times and here at Eastbourne and Nottingham on her only previous visits!
She beat Kvitova 7-6 6-2 in the first round in Birmingham, but the Czech star had only just arrived from Paris and BHM had alreadywon in Nottingham and today will be more of a test and the Brazilian must be tired, she has played six three set matches and also had a lot go her way, with three retirements and met four ranked #114 plus. Of course , you can only beat who you are asked to play, but today she is facing grass court royalty and in a match which matters to Kvitova and she will not be as rusty as in Birmingham where she made a lot of unforced errors and her serve was not firing.
This is, (also)incredibly Maia's 104th match of the last 12 months and not sure if someone ranked top 50 has ever played that much and we certainly cannot fault her work ethic , she has risen from #188 to circa #20 , but this is a gulf in class if Petra is even at 80% of her ability and that is highlighted by their respective record versus fellow lefties (both are left handed players).
Maia is 34-22 v lefties, 1-3 versus those ranked top 50.
Kvitova a respective 53-22 and 35-15 .
PK's serving woes appear behind her and with not as many free points for Maia today, she should win and restore some sanity to the grass court season!
She has now won seven straight matches on grass and is 66-21 on the surface lifetime, 35-11 at Wimbledon. To give that some context, Paula Badosa is #4 in the world , but is a respective 13-10 and 5-2 and she has only faced one player ranked inside the top 40 in the world on grass and lost that in straight sets. The Spanish player might say otherwise, but she would probably rather take the grass court season off and go on holiday, she looks up against it today and has traditionally struggled against the taller players on tour and is 0-2 versus those who also play left handed like lovely Petra!
2.25 units Patra Kvitova 2-0 sets 2.60 Pinnacle/Vegas Line.
Good luck!
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