WTA: US Open tennis: Naomi Osaka- Shelby Rogers
Sep 08, 2020
WTA: US Open tennis: Naomi Osaka- Shelby Rogers
Shelby actually leads the h2h 3-0 (6-0 sets) but all meetings were a long time ago , when Naomi was still a baby in tennis terms and each was in a low level event. Osaka said she cannot really remember much about those matches, but Rogers will have them in her memory bank and it might not mean much, but anything it does mean has to be a positive for the underdog. Rogers is one of those players who used lockdown well and has come back fitter and stronger and at long last recovered from her surgery of 2018 where she viewed the scars as more mental than physical.
She started the year ranked 174, but said she always thought of herself as a higher-ranked player. Adding: "When I stepped on the court, I didn't see that number. "I felt like I would get back to where I wanted to be if I just kept doing the things that I knew were right, stuck with the process." Rogers has started to add some consistency to her game, she always had a single win or two in her armoury and made the
quarter finals at the 2016 French Open where she beat Pliskova, Vesnina , Kvitova and took eventual champion Garbine Muguruza close in the last 8 and Muguruza was absolutely unplayable that year. In 2017, pre surgery she had wins over Halep (Aussie Open) , Osaka , Keys, Wozniacki but was then lost to the game for well over a year and it has been a tough route back to this point.
Post lockdown she has played as much tennis as anyone, this will be her 11th start and she has posted wins over Serena , Rybakina and Petra Kvitova in R4 here in New York. Kvitova had spells in that match where she was unplayable and looked sure to win, but every time Rogers found a little more and it was a fine battling performance, especially mentally.
Naomi has played eight restart matches all on these courts, she is coming off her best performance a 3&4 defeat of Anett Kontaveit where the Estonian barely won a point on return, but four of those eight matches have gone the distance, every other game actually and Osaka is not bringing her A game consistently at present. Teenager Marta Kostyuk world # 137 made 51 unforced errors in R3 and still took Osaka to three sets . Rogers has played five sets against two top 20 players here and made a total of 43 U/E (8.6 per set) and if she can again keep the self inflicted damage to a minimum, she will get chances of her own and I think the best value today is Osaka to win another three set match.
Osaka has played nine hard court quarter finals in the last two years and won seven, five in three sets .
1.75 units Naomi Osaka to win 2-1 in sets 4.0 general quote, bigger in a place or two.
Good luck !
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