Last season's numbers seem as good a place to start as any !

Pd = games played.

Pts = points

GD = goal difference

XP=  expected points

XGD = expected goal difference

ITB = inside the box net numbers for the season

L8 = inside the box totals (created-conceded) for the last 8 games.

Ligue 1:

Dijon - Toulouse

Toulouse XP numbers give them an extra 14 points, 27 instead of 13, but that inflated number would still leave them bottom of Ligue 1 and the truth is their confidence is not just shot it has been blown to smithereens and ahead of a home game with Strasbourg last month my notes included.........