I have changed the final column so that it covers the last five games which are all since lockdown, some teams have played six times since the restart, but only the last five starts are counted to make them easier to compare.
Pd = games played.
Pts = points
GD = goal difference
XP= expected points
XGD = expected goal difference
ITB = inside the box net numbers for the season
L5 = inside the box totals (created-conceded) for the last 5 games ( all post restart).
Pd = games played.
Pts = points
GD = goal difference
XP= expected points
XGD = expected goal difference
ITB = inside the box net numbers for the season
L8 = inside the box totals (created-conceded) for the last 8 games.
At present I am undecided whether to go with 8 or 6 games for the last column, but it probably doesn't overly matter as I will be looking for changing trends over shorter periods than that in any case and highlighting those within the matchday previews.
Serie A:
I have what I think were amongst my top 5 worst betting days ever over Friday and Saturday, the top two worst days will never be troubled, they are like Real and Barce were in La Liga a few years back, so far out on their own, the rest were only playing for third spot. Well, the last couple of days have made a big run at that bronze medal !
As always when this, or something similar happens, I scale things down for a few days, fewer bets and lower stakes and try to ride it out with as little further damage as possible, until things improve.
Italy Serie A :