Football

Serie A : updated xP and ITB tables ahead of this weekend's games .............

football betting tips -

 

I have changed the final column so that it covers the last five games which are all since lockdown, some teams have played six times since the restart, but only the last five starts are counted to make them easier to compare.

Pd = games played.

Pts = points

GD = goal difference

XP=  expected points

XGD = expected goal difference

ITB = inside the box net numbers for the season

L5 = inside the box totals (created-conceded) for the last 5 games ( all post restart).

Premier league betting tip .................

football betting tips -
 
I looked at seven games in today's newsletter putting up seven bets in total, but passing on one game, you can see notes on that and one other below.
 
It is going to be even busier tomorrow with eight games currently on the clubgowi "short list " !
 
 
Championship:Nottingham Forest- Fulham
 
These two are 7 and 9 points respectively above the 7th placed team, 9 and 7 adrift of the automatic promotion places.
 

Championship betting tip: Barnsley -Millwall

football betting tips -

 

Barnsley- Millwall

 

XP suggests these two are of similar ability, despite the Lions still being in playoff contention and Barnsley battling relegation. The ITB numbers also see the hosts are superior to what we come to expect from a bottom 3 or even 6 team and their last nine game stats are incredibly good, with a net +15 being good enough to rank them 6th , creating the 7th most and conceding the 4th fewest. Barnsley started with a 1-0 win away at a troubled QPR last weekend when I noted ...........

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